Podcast

Is now a good time to buy property? It's the question Gavin gets more than any other, so in this episode he answers it properly. Using the market clock, he shows where sentiment actually sits (almost everyone says 11pm) and why "peak of the market" means nothing until you ask "peak of what?" Residential, office, industrial, data centres, hotels and medical are all moving differently. From there he breaks down the three forces that decide where prices go next: the bond market and rising interest rates, the AI bubble and whether it bursts like the dotcom crash, and the 18-year property cycle that points to 2026 as the top. He explains why Ireland is more exposed than most, with around 300,000 people employed by US tech firms concentrated around Dublin. He also covers what it means on the ground: the landlord exodus of roughly 11,000 rentals in six months, 209 applicants for a single house in Ranelagh, and why the smartest move in any market is to stay active rather than sit on your hands. The takeaway: the market is cyclical, there is no bad market, only a bad strategy. *** Chapters 00:00 The market clock: where are we? 00:48 Why sentiment says 11pm 01:40 Peak of what? The segments that matter 02:33 Housing affordability and bidding wars 03:28 A client's cash flow deal: €40k cost, €150k income 05:02 What's really driving the market 06:00 The bond market and interest rates 06:51 The gambler vs the analyst 08:44 Government debt and the crisis on the horizon 09:37 Global rates at multi-decade highs 10:15 The AI bubble: hype vs risk 12:17 Why Ireland is exposed 13:22 The 18-year property cycle 15:40 Why 2026 could be the top 18:27 The dotcom lesson 19:26 Should you buy now? 21:46 The landlord exodus 22:46 209 applicants for one house 24:32 Buffett: fear, greed and opportunity 25:54 Final advice: stay in the game Elite Property Accelerator is open for its next intake. Learn more: https://epa-learn-more.scoreapp.com/  Join my next Workshop: https://elitepropertyaccelerator.com/workshop  *** Behind the Facade is hosted by Gavin J Gallagher, a Dublin-based property investor and developer with 30 years in the Irish and international market, and first-hand experience of three property crashes. *** Support the podcast: https://buymeacoffee.com/gavinjgallagher